Mr. Bowling hangs on to win Lecomte Stakes
Horseracing Betting Lines
01/21/2012 -
New Orleans, LA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mr. Bowling, ridden by Robby Albarado, held
off Z Dager Saturday to capture the $175,000 Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds
Race Course. It was the three-year-old's first start in almost three months.
The mile and 70 yard event is the first of three stakes at the New Orleans
track for Kentucky Derby probables. The $300,000 Risen Star Stakes follows on
Saturday, February 25 and the $1 million Louisiana Derby concludes this
section of the Derby Trail on Sunday, April 1.
Mr. Bowling, trained by Larry Jones, went off as the 7-2 second choice behind
the 3-1 favored entry of Dan and Sheila and Z Dager. Shared Property, the 4-1
morning-line favorite, went off as the 5-1 third pick in the 13-horse field.
Setting the pace was Alexander Thegreat with Hero of Order to his outside.
Running third was Hammers Terror along with Z Dager. Mr. Bowling quickly
settled into fifth on the outside.
Owned by Brereton Jones, Mr. Bowling moved forward entering the far turn and
was caught three wide around the final turn. Almost half the field was across
the track at the top of the stretch.
Mr. Bowling was able to find room between horses as Z Dager and jockey Shave
Sellers made a late surge. Albarado was able to get his horse to the wire
first, posting a head victory over Z Dager with Shared Property another half-
length back in third.
Completing the order of finish were Dan and Sheila, Hero of Order, Hammers
Terror, Capetown Devil, Alexander Thegreat, Ted's Folly, Adena's Chance,
Exfactor, Seven Lively Sins and Chalybeate Springs.
Mr. Bowling covered the distance in 1:43.49 on a fast Fair Grounds track.
"He has been training very well since he got here," said Jones recently.
"We're very happy with him. Obviously, Mr. Bowling likes this track a lot, but
we also want to think he's just getting better. He seems to be maturing more
and more every day. He's a son of the young Gone West sire Istan whose horses
are just getting to the races. I have several Istans in my barn, and they all
look like they can run."
Mr. Bowling added $105,000 to his earnings which now stand at $201,048. The
Lecomte was the colt's third win in five career starts and his first since
taking the Dover Stakes at Delaware Park on October 8. He last raced on
October 30 at Churchill Downs in the Iroquois Stakes when he finished third.
Mr. Bowling returned $9.20, $4.80 and $4.00. Z Dager paid $4.80 and $3.60, and
Shared Property paid $3.80 to show.
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Pacific-10 Conference odds
Teams that should be in: Stanford
 Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.
Should be in:
Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.
| Southeastern Conference odds |
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State
 It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.
Work left to do:
Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.
Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.
Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.
Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile. |
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